A key fiscal panel revised its revenue estimates downward slightly for the current fiscal year, saying Thursday that it expects revenues to be less than one-tenth of a percent lower than the March forecast.
The three-member Board of Revenue Estimates said the revenue forecast would likely have been higher if not for federal tax changes made this summer in President Donald Trump’s so-called One Big Beautiful Bill.
Given the continued economic uncertainty related to that bill, and to a looming government shutdown and threatened layoffs of federal workers, panel members said the state has dodged a fiscal bullet so far.
The meeting Thursday also offered a first forecast of revenues for fiscal 2027. The initial estimate of about $27.1 billion — 1.7% higher than the current fiscal year projection — will be revised in December, in time for a legislative spending committee to make recommendations on state spending as lawmakers set the next budget.
“The forecast remains relatively unchanged, with a slight write down of $19.1 million, and I want to note that this actually feels like a big win for us,” said Comptroller Brooke Lierman, chair of the board, of the revisions to the fiscal 2026 revenue estimates.
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